This was posted by Frank Scoblete on the Golden Touch Craps private members-only web site
In our dice control classes Dominator and I mention that in any long or money-making controlled dice rolls you do need some “luck.” What the heck does that mean? Does it mean you don’t have an edge without luck?
No it doesn’t mean that.
Just recall any winning roll you had and remember that every so often those dice slipped out of your fingers and you knew the darn shot was awful. Then you started sincerely praying or as Dominator does, you called out, “Give me some luck!” because you knew that shot was not at all controlled. In fact, that shot was random.
Okay, the luck you obviously needed was for that devilish 7 not to show.
Now the good news is that the 7 shows only 17 percent of the time so you will have a very good chance that luck will indeed favor you. As the roll progresses, at times this randomness will happen – so you need that luck to keep the roll going. Even the great Captain’s former World Record roll of 147 numbers needed some luck because sometimes even his dice looked awful.
Now even with a truly controlled throw there are still levels of control to it. These “less than perfect” rolls are somewhat decent but the dice don’t look all that great in the air, don’t land all that great on the layout, don’t hit the back wall all that great, don’t end all that great but the 7 on those rolls might only show up 15 percent of the time. You can go down from there. Truly great rolls might show the seven 8 to 10 percent of the time. (Yes, some rolls that look perfect also have that darn 7 showing but remember no roll, let me repeat, NO ROLL, is free from a 7 possibility. A lot of dice controllers don’t realize this fact.)
So luck is needed on winning and long rolls, and even controlled rolls have levels of perfection to them, and, once more, all rolls have a 7 possibility no matter how great that roll has been.
And that is that.
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